illicit trade

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National Illicit Economy Disruption Programme: Better late than never

National Illicit Economy Disruption Programme: Better late than never 800 800 Frontline Africa Advisory

Introduction In his 2026 State of the Nation Address, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced the National Illicit Economy Disruption Programme, a coordinated effort to combat illicit trade through collaboration between government and the private sector. The programme will utilise data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) to target high-risk sectors, namely alcohol, counterfeit goods, fuel, and tobacco.…

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illicit trade

Beyond tobacco: Weakening state capacity and the future of South Africa’s industrial towns

Beyond tobacco: Weakening state capacity and the future of South Africa’s industrial towns 800 800 Frontline Africa Advisory

In January, British American Tobacco South Africa (BATSA) announced the closure of its Heidelberg factory, a facility that has anchored Lesedi Local Municipality’s economy since 1975, citing declining viability largely driven by rampant illicit tobacco trade in the country. Public commentary quickly attributed the closure to familiar factors: falling tobacco consumption, shifting market trends, and…

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MTBS 2025, National Treasury, Enoch Godongwana, Illicit trade, Financial Action Task Force (FATF), Governance and Fiscal Reforms, Infrastructure

The 2025 MTBPS: Consolidation, Coalition, and the Politics of Fiscal Renewal

The 2025 MTBPS: Consolidation, Coalition, and the Politics of Fiscal Renewal 800 800 Frontline Africa Advisory

The 2025 Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS), delivered by Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana on 12 November, marks a delicate balancing act between fiscal prudence, political compromise, and reform-driven recovery. It arrives at a moment of renewed fiscal discipline but persistent political fragility, where the Government of National Unity (GNU) faces the dual challenge of maintaining…

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insights cig

Policing lifestyles, the new obsession of our governing class

Policing lifestyles, the new obsession of our governing class 800 800 Frontline Africa Advisory

The government has been seen to be insistent on creating heavy-headed regulations that are seemingly aimed at policing habits and lifestyles of citizens, this article unpacks how the government has been pursuing laws that interfere with people’s freedom of choice. Highlighting how these regulations neglect to consider and address the root causes of the same…

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